Behavioral Ecology Vol. 10 No. 4: 377-390
© 1999 International Society for Behavioral Ecology
On the evolution of delayed recruitment to food bonanzas
a Department of Mathematics, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL 32306-4510, USA b Department of Biology, University of Louisville, Louisville, KY 40292, USA
Address correspondence to M. Mesterton-Gibbons. E-mail: mmestert{at}mailer.fsu.edu
Received 18 June 1998; revised 4 December 1998; accepted 17 December 1998.
| ABSTRACT |
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Whereas food sharing by immediate recruitment to food bonanzas is relatively common, especially among birds, delayed recruitment from overnight roosts is comparatively rare, although it has been studied extensively in the common raven (Corvus corax). Two hypotheses have been advanced to explain the evolution of delayed recruitment. Under the status-enhancement hypothesis, delayed recruiting is favored because the recruiter's social status increases with the number of followers it leads to a food source. The posse hypothesis also focuses on the number of individuals recruited to a site, but in this case aggregation is favored because larger groups are more likely to usurp a carcass defended by a pair of territorial adult ravens. We used a game-theoretic model to explore the logic of immediate versus delayed recruitment in the light of these hypotheses. In particular, we identified three critical values of the probability of immediate recruitment: that below which delayed recruitment is a cooperative strategy, that below which delayed recruitment is an evolutionarily stable strategy, and that below which a mutant strategy of delayed recruitment will invade a population of immediate recruiters to reach fixation. The model demonstrates that either status enhancement or the posse effect may alone suffice for the evolution of delayed recruitment to food bonanzas via mutualistic information sharing at communal roosts.
Key words: communal roosts, cooperation, Corvus corax, delayed recruitment, evolutionary game theory, food sharing, information centers, mutualism, ravens, social status.
| INTRODUCTION |
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Food sharing has been well documented in many species of birds and mammals (see Dugatkin, 1997
In addition to empirical work like that on the sparrow and other species,
this type of recruitment to newly discovered food items has been the focus of
at least two game-theoretic models (Caraco
and Brown, 1986
; Newman and
Caraco, 1989
). These models suggest that the phenomenon is largely
an example of "by-product mutualism"
(Brown, 1987
), in which
cooperation is an incidental consequence of otherwise selfish behavior,
although in certain circumstances "reciprocal altruism"
(Axelrod and Hamilton, 1981
),
in which individuals keep score of pairwise interactions, may play a role as
well. The mutualism arises because failing to call increases the risk of
predation, whether on the foragers or on their fledglings, and so immediate
recruitment is favored.
There is, however, another kind of recruiting behaviordelayed
recruitmentthat has yet to be explored theoretically, although it has
been the focus of some experimental work (see
Rabenold, 1987
, and references
below). In delayed recruitment, an individual who finds a food source waits
for a considerable period of time before using the resource itself or
recruiting others to it. In ravens (Corvus corax), for example,
individuals often return to their communal roost after spotting a large
carcass but wait until the following morning before leading other birds to the
bonanza (Heinrich, 1989
).
Here, we present a game-theoretic model that explores conditions favoring
delayed versus immediate recruitment of individuals to food sites.
The model we develop is general in nature, but it takes as its empirical
base the well-studied food-sharing and recruitment system of ravens
(Heinrich, 1988a
,
b
,
1989
;
Heinrich and Marzluff, 1991
;
Marzluff and Heinrich, 1992
).
For the purposes of our model, the juvenile raven system is ideal for a
variety of reasons: (1) juvenile ravens are vagrants and aggregate into
roosts. Both immediate and delayed recruitment exist
(Heinrich, 1988a
,
b
,
1989
,
1994a
). (2) Communal roosts
are thought to function as "information centers"
(Loman and Tamm, 1980
;
Heinrich 1994a
;
Heinrich et al., 1994
;
Marzluff et al., 1996
). (3)
Yelling, the mechanism by which some recruiters attract other ravens to a prey
item, has been well studied (Heinrich and
Marzluff, 1991
; also see
Heinrich et al., 1993
, for
more on a related issue). (4) Change of social status as a result of
recruitment has been examined in a number of different contexts
(Heinrich 1994b
;
Heinrich and Marzluff, 1991
).
Social status appears to be important in ravens not only for access to food
(Harriman and Berger, 1990
;
Heinrich and Marzluff, 1991
),
but also with respect to making males more attractive to mates
(Gwinner, 1964
). (5) The
mechanism by which ravens recognize food items has been examined both from an
ecological and a cognitive perspective
(Heinrich, 1995a
,
b
;
Heinrich et al., 1995
). (6)
The means by which recruiters and followers are able to overcome territorial
adults defending a food source are well known
(Marzluff and Heinrich, 1992
).
(7) Foraging often occurs at large, discrete, and rare carcasses
(Heinrich, 1989
).
The raven system also holds greater promise for studying recruitment as a
possible case of cooperative behavior. In this context, it is usually
difficult to distinguish among mutualism, reciprocity, and two other
categories of cooperative behaviorkin-selected and group-selected
behavior (Dugatkin, 1997
;
Mesterton-Gibbons and Dugatkin,
1992
). In the case of ravens, however, it is reasonable to rule
out three of the four categories a priori. DNA fingerprinting studies of
relatedness within and between groups strongly suggest that kinship does not
play a significant role in raven foraging groups
(Parker et al., 1994
), and
raven communal nests show high turnover rates
(Heinrich, 1988a
,
b
;
Heinrich et al., 1994
), which
seem likely to preclude both the deme structure needed for group selection and
the repeated interactions necessary for reciprocity. So one can focus on
mutualism to study cooperative elements of raven recruitment.
In the light of his extensive empirical work, Heinrich
(1989
) has formulated two
hypotheses concerning factors that favor delayed recruitment in ravens (which
are not mutually exclusive). We refer to them here as the
"status-enhancement" and "posse" hypotheses. Under the
status-enhancement hypothesis, delayed recruiting is favored because the
recruiter's social status increases with the number of followers it leads to a
food source. Delayed recruitment might allow more individuals to be informed
of who has discovered a bonanza, and hence significantly improve the
recruiter's status; on the other hand, the effect is diluted when several
foragers independently discover the same bonanza. The posse hypothesis also
focuses on the number of individuals recruited to a site, but in this case
aggregation is favored because larger groups are more likely to usurp a
carcass defended by a pair of territorial adult ravens
(Marzluff and Heinrich, 1992
).
Note that a carcass is inaccessible to ravens unless opened by a
heterospecific (e.g., a coyote or wolf), because their large (7.9-9.5 cm)
bills, although well suited to shearing meat from bones and pecking into
crevices among them, are too weak to penetrate the hide of large mammals
(Heinrich, 1988a
).
Both the posse and status-enhancement hypotheses are consistent with the
notion that larger groups allow ravens to overcome their fear of most new
items they encounter. Thus, although their "neophobia" is an
interesting phenomenon in its own right
(Heinrich, 1995b
;
Heinrich et al., 1995
), it
cannot shed light on the distinction between status enhancement and the posse
effect as factors favoring the evolution of delayed recruitment.
Here we present a formal game-theoretic model of immediate versus delayed recruitment. We then use this model to explore the question of when delayed recruitment (DR), via information sharing at a communal roost or other information center, can be expected to evolve from immediate recruitment (IR) in a population whose food source is rare and ephemeral, but bountiful. The model is based on highly idealized assumptions and therefore has numerous limitations, but we postpone a discussion of these limitations to the end of the paper, so that we can focus on the assumptions in developing the model. A list of symbols appears in Appendix C.
| Mathematical model |
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Consider a population of unrelated overwintering juveniles that forage independently by day, but roost together at night in groups of size N + 1. They search during a period of L daylight hours from early morning until dusk. Food bonanzas are defined to be opened carcasses that are rare and ephemeral, but bountiful. For the sake of simplicity, but consistent with this definition, we assume that an opened carcass lasts only a day, but is ample enough to satiate any juvenile that exploits it. Moreover, we assume that the rate of renewal is precisely one per day; thus the object of search is to find the opened carcass, wherever in a huge area it may have randomly appeared. We scale expected future reproductive success so that feeding at a bonanza increases it by 1 unit of fitness. Also, we assume that juveniles feed solely at bonanzas, and we ignore the effect of predation. Thus any additional fitness increment is due to a rise in social status. We assume that the fitness of a discoverer increases by
units for every animal it
recruits, and we will refer to this assumption as the status-enhancement
effect.
Each day, an isolated individual locates the bonanza with probability
b, and hence with probability 1 b finds no bonanza.
We assume that 0 < b < 1. The time until a focal individual
locates the bonanza by itself is a random variable Z, continuously
distributed between 0 and
with cumulative distribution function (cdf)
G and probability density function (pdf) g, i.e.,
![]() | (1) |
where a prime denotes differentiation. Because Z has a continuous distribution, two individuals cannot discover the bonanza simultaneously, although any number of individuals may discover the bonanza at some time during the day.
Individuals cease to search either at the end of the day or when they
become privy to the bonanza. But the focal individual need not discover the
bonanza for itself. Let W denote the time until one of the N
nonfocal individuals locates the bonanza. When W is also continuously
distributed between 0 and
, but with a different cdf and pdf, say
H and h, respectively. Because 1 Prob(W
w) is the probability that none of N independent foragers
locates the bonanza by time w, we have
![]() | (2) |
![]() | (3) |
For the sake of simplicity and tractability, each individual in the population is assumed to be either an immediate recruiter (strategy IR) or a delayed recruiter (strategy DR). Both types respond to recruitment by others: this aspect of behavior is assumed not to be under selection. If an IR strategist discovers the bonanza, it immediately recruits all individuals within range. It then remains at the carcass with its gang of recruits until all return to the roost at dusk (i.e., at time L). If another individual subsequently discovers the carcass itself, independently of recruitment, then it neither rises in status nor joins the gang; however, it is able to satiate itself if the gang acquires access to the food. (If necessary, we can think of such late discoverers as lurking in the vicinity of the carcass until the gang has departed and gorging themselves rapidly before likewise returning to the roost.)
Each juvenile will have access to the food if it is not defended, or if it
is defended but the gang contains enough recruits to repulse the resident
adults. Let
denote the probability that the bonanza is defended by a
resident pair, and let
(I) denote the probability that a gang of
I juveniles (including its leader) will repulse the residents. For
the sake of simplicity and tractability, we assume that a lone animal has no
chance of repulsing the residents, but that the probability of a gang's
success thereafter increases in direct proportion to the number of recruits,
with maximum probability
(when the entire roost of juveniles is at the
bonanza). That is, we assume a linear relationship of the form
![]() | (4) |
> 0. Note that Equation 4 implies
(1) = 0 and
(N + 1) =
. With this assumption, the probability of
access for a gang of size I is A(I) = 1 -
+

(I), and Equation 4 implies
![]() | (5) |
> 0.
As already stated, we assume that in an IR population, at most one animal
per day, the first discoverer, can rise in status. In a DR population, on the
other hand, several animals may rise in status by discovering the carcass
independently; however, the concomitant increase of fitness is shared equally
among them. A DR strategist that discovers the bonanza delays recruitment to
the following day at dawn. If it is the sole discoverer of the bonanza, then
the other N juveniles follow it at dawn from the roost to the site of
the carcass; but if several animals discover the bonanza, then each is equally
likely to lead. An animal that fails to discover the bonanza will fail to rise
in status, but its fitness will increase by 1 unit if some DR strategist
discovered the bonanza and the flock gains access to the food. Thus,
conditional upon access, the increase of expected future reproductive success
to a DR strategist in a population of DR strategists is
![]() | (6) |
) (1 - (1 - b)N+1) -
b. Thus, on multiplying Equation 6 by the probability
A(N + 1) of access, we find that the increase of expected
future reproductive success to a DR strategist in a population of DR
strategists is R defined by the matrix in
Table 1.
|
Now suppose that the population contains a mutant IR strategist (in
addition to N DR strategists). If this focal individual finds a
bonanza at time Z, then it will immediately recruit the other
individualsall of them DR strategistswithin its range of
attraction. Let F(Z) denote the number of other individuals
still foraging at time Z, and let r denote the recruitment
probability for each. In ravens, immediate recruitment appears to be
predominantly vocal (Heinrich,
1988b
; Heinrich and Marzluff,
1991
), although visual cues may play a lesser role
(Heinrich et al., 1993
;
Marzluff et al., 1996
). Thus,
because individuals are assumed to search at random over a large area, we can
interpret r as the ratio of the area of the animal's call range to
the total search area for the roost. Then the expected number of recruits is
rF(Z). The focal individual's fitness will increase by 1
unit for access to the food plus
rF(Z) units for the
status of a discoverer; and the size of the gang will be
rF(Z) + 1, so that the probability of access will be
A(rF(Z) + 1), where A is defined by
Equation 5. Even if the IR strategist fails to discover the bonanza, however,
i.e., if Z > L, its fitness will increase by 1 if one of
the DR strategists discovers it (i.e., if W < L) and the
group as a whole gains access the following dawn. But a payoff of 1 with
conditional probability 1 -
(1 -
) is equivalent to a payoff of
1 -
(1 -
) with conditional probability 1. Thus the focal IR
strategist's payoff against the N DR strategists is
![]() | (7) |
![]() | (8) |
As remarked above, if the focal IR strategist is not a mutant but belongs
instead to a population of IR strategists, then we must allow for the
possibility that it ceases to search before the end of the day, not because it
has discovered the bonanza itself, but because another IR strategist has
discovered the bonanza and the focal individual is near enough to be
recruited. In that case, the focal individual's status will not rise, but its
fitness will still increase by 1 unit if (immediate) recruitment yields a
large enough gang for access to the carcass.
Figure 1 shows the joint sample
space of the random variables Z and W, which are
independent. If the focal individual is first to discover the carcass, then
its fitness increases by 1 plus
times the expected number of recruits,
or 1 +
rN. If it is not the first discoverer of the carcass
(implying Z > W), then its fitness will increase by 1 if
either it is recruited or subsequently it discovers the carcass for itself. In
the triangle shaded in Figure
1, the focal individual is recruited with conditional probability
r and with conditional probability 1 - r is not recruited,
but subsequently finds the bonanza itself. In either case, its reward is 1. In
the open rectangle to the right of this triangle, however, the focal
individual enjoys a reward of 1 only if it is recruited. But a payoff of 1
with conditional probability r is equivalent to an expected payoff of
r with conditional probability 1. Thus the focal individual's payoff,
conditional upon access to the carcass, is
![]() | (9) |
![]() | (10) |
(1 -
r), and the
(unconditional) increase of expected future reproductive success to an IR
strategist in an IR population is
![]() | (11) |
|
To complete the reward matrix in Table
1, now suppose that the population consists of N IR
strategists and a mutant DR strategist. This focal individual obtains an
immediate reward only if it responds to an IR strategist's call; if it finds
the bonanza itself, then its reward is delayed to the following dawn. Thus we
must allow for the fact that if the focal DR strategist is first discoverer,
its expected number of recruits is no longer rN, but rather the
number of IR strategists that were not made privy to the bonanza the previous
day (all others being satiated, by assumption). An IR strategist is not made
privy to the bonanza if its fails to find it, and it is not the case that both
another IR strategist finds it and the first animal is recruited. On using
Equation 1, the probability of this event is
![]() | (12) |
(1 -
r) when
Z > W, for Z < W it changes to
A(Nq + 1) = 1 -
(1 -
q). So, by
analogy with Equations 9-11, the increase of expected future reproductive
success to a DR strategist in an IR population is
![]() | (13) |
Depending on the signs of R - T and S -
P, either IR or DR is potentially an evolutionarily stable strategy,
or ESS (sensu Maynard Smith,
1982
) of the game with reward matrix defined by
Table 1. If R -
T and S - P are both positive, then DR is the only
ESS; if both are negative, then IR is the only ESS; if R - T
is positive but S - P is negative, then both strategies are
evolutionarily stable; and if R - T is negative but
S - P is positive, then neither strategy is an ESS, but each
can infiltrate the other, so that a mixture of both will be evolutionarily
stable within the population. For further discussion of mathematical details,
see Mesterton-Gibbons
(1992
).
| The evolutionarily stable strategy |
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Following Mesterton-Gibbons and Dugatkin (1992
The posse effect in isolation
In general, the identity of the cooperative strategy will depend on the
relative magnitude of r, but an exception occurs when there is no
status-enhancement effect, (i.e., when
= 0). This special case is of
considerable interest because we would like to explore whether the posse
effect alone suffices for the evolution of delayed recruitment. Setting
= 0 in Table 1 we find
that
![]() | (14) |
, r, and
are all probabilities between 0 and 1. Thus DR is is always the
cooperative strategy in the absence of a status-enhancement effect. In
addition, with
= 0 we have
![]() | (15) |
![]() | (16) |
![]() | (17) |
The status-enhancement effect in isolation
It is also of considerable interest to explore whether the
status-enhancement effect alone suffices for the evolution of delayed
recruitment. Setting
= 0 in Table
1 we find that
![]() | (18) |
![]() | (19) |
![]() | (20) |
![]() | (21) |
![]() | (22) |
2 these inequalities satisfy
![]() | (23) |
![]() | (24) |
3, on the other hand, although
![]() | (25) |
![]() | (26) |
In practice, the size of a roost is rarely in single digits. For example,
at the New Vineyard roosting site in the forests of western Maine, which
Marzluff et al. (1996
)
observed over 24 nightfalls between 15 November and 20 December 1988, the size
of a roost was between 12 and 46 on 18 occasions, with 3 instances of 9 and 1
each of 5 and 80 (and 1 instance in which all of 77 arriving birds apparently
relocated after dark). In every case, the size of an actual roost was at least
5, suggesting N
4. Thus also N
3, and the relevant
conditions are Equation 26, which we illustrate in
Figure 2 for
= 0.5 and
various values of N. Note that the region where both IR and DR are an
ESS appears to be of little consequence unless the size of the roost is in
single digits, which was scarcely observed.
|
We can now answer the question of whether the status-enhancement effect alone suffices for the evolution of delayed recruitment. The answer is yes, and for at least moderately large roosts the conditions for DR to infiltrate the primitive state are essentially the same; but the conditions for DR to invade and become a monomorphic ESS are potentially much more stringent.
The combined effect
In the more general case where both
and
are positive, we
denote by
0,
1,
2, respectively, the critical recruitment
probabilities below which DR is a cooperative strategy, below which DR can
infiltrate IR, and below which DR is an ESS. Note that, in terms of these new
parameters, the result that DR is invariably a cooperative ESS when
=
0 becomes
0 = 1 =
2 for
= 0.
On inspecting Table 1, we
readily find that
![]() | (27) |
0 and
2 depend on
,
, and
, as well as on N and b.
Because the analytical expressions are cumbersome, they are presented in
Appendix B. What they reveal is that both
0 and
2 increase with respect to
or
but
decrease with respect to
or N (although the decrease of
0 with N is weak), and that
0 still decreases with respect to b but
that
2 no longer decreases with respect to
b unless
is sufficiently large. Furthermore, it is shown in
Appendix B that
![]() | (28) |
0),
then IR is invariably also an ESS (r >
1). We illustrate the possibilities in (Figures
3,4,5,6).
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| DISCUSSION |
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|
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We have explored the question of when delayed recruitment (DR), via information sharing at a roost or other information center, can be expected to evolve from immediate recruitment (IR) in a population whose food source is rare and ephemeral, but bountiful. We have modeled the dilemma of whether to delay recruitment in terms of six ecological parameters, namely, N + 1, the size of the roost; b, the probability per day that an isolated forager locates a food bonanza through random search;
, the marginal
value in terms of expected future reproductive sucess of a unit of increased
social status, scaled with respect to the food value of a bonanza;
,
the probability that the bonanza is defended;
, the maximum probability
of access to a defended bonanza (i.e., the access probability for the entire
roost); and r, the probability of immediate recruitment, which we
interpret as the ratio of the area of an animal's call range to the total
search area for the roost. All of these parameters are fixed, in particular
b,
, and N. In the real world, of course, both the
probability of a discovery and its effect on social status may vary among
individuals; the size of a roost may vary with time; animals may not forage
randomly (e.g., ravens may travel directly above a highway, apparently in
search of road kills); and they may not search alone. For example, of the 87
ravens that Heinrich (1989
Nevertheless, the point of a game-theoretic model in behavioral ecology is
not to replicate the game of nature, but rather to abstract the essence of a
strategic interaction so that its logic can be rigorously explored
(Mesterton-Gibbons and Adams,
1998
). The simplicity of such a model is its strength, and a
variety of such models, each by itself inadequate in a different way, can
yield a "robust theorem which is relatively free of the details of the
model," its truth being "the intersection of independent
lies" (Levins, 1966
:
423).
Among inadequacies of the model not already mentioned are the following:
(1) We have assumed a linear relationship of the form
(I) =
(I - 1)/N between the number I of recruits
in a gang and its probability
of repulsing a resident pair, whereas a
nonlinear relationship that included the effect of saturation would be more
realistic. For example, Heinrich's
(1988b
) observations of ravens
suggest
(I) = 1 for I
9. (2) We have also assumed a
linear relationship between the number of conspecifics that a discoverer
recruits and its rise in status, whereas a nonlinear relationship would again
be more realistic. For example, there could be a critical number of recruits
beyond which status would rise dramatically and lead to breeding as a yearling
rather than as a 2 year old. (3) We have assumed that the only available
strategies are those of obligate IR strategist or obligate DR strategist,
whereas it would be more realistic to allow more flexible use of the two
behaviors (perhaps depending partly on the timing of discovery). (4) We have
attributed a rise in status only to animals who discover a bonanza
independently and only to the first such discoverer in a population of IR
strategists; whereas in nature, being privy to a bonanza may yield fitness
gains through status enhancement regardless of how that information is
acquired, but especially where it is acquired from accompanying the
discoverer. As acknowledged already, however, the more fundamental inadequacy
in this regard is our assumption that animals forage independently.
On the other hand, there are several ways in which our assumptions appear
to yield quite good approximations. First, although a bonanza may sometimes
persist for several days, at other times a heavy snowfall or a mammalian
scavenger may eliminate the resource rapidly, long before it could all be
eaten (Marzluff et al., 1996
),
which is consistent with our assumption that a bonanza suffices to satiate any
animal who is privy to it. Second, we have ignored predation, but ravens are
relatively immune to being predated once past the nestling stage
(Heinrich, 1988b
). Third, our
implicit assumption that the composition of a gang will vary from day to day
is consistent with observations that roost composition in ravens is highly
fluid (Heinrich, 1988b
;
Parker et al., 1994
;
Marzluff et al., 1996
).
Finally, we have ignored variation in energetic costs, but this assumption
would have strategic consequences in the context of our model only if such
costs differed significantly between IR and DR strategists. The costs are the
same for all searching animals, regardless of whether they are IR or DR
strategists, however, and at night all animals share a common roost. Thus any
difference in costs must be due to the greater likelihood that a focal
individual in an IR population will return to the roost early by virtue of
being recruited and hence engage in some other daytime activity. But a
difference in costs between an IR population and a DR population cannot affect
the evolutionary stability of either; at worst, it affects whether IR or DR is
the cooperative strategy, and even this effect is ignorable if the costs of
other daytime activities are comparable to those of searching (or if the costs
of either are negligible compared to those of surviving the night).
In general, either IR or DR may be the cooperative strategy (i.e., the
strategy that yields a higher reward to the population), and either IR or DR
may be an ESS, in the sense of Maynard Smith
(1982
). Broadly speaking, IR
is cooperative only when b and r are both relatively high,
but if IR is cooperative, then it is invariably an ESS. More precisely, IR is
a cooperative ESS when r exceeds a critical value
0, which increases with respect of
and
, but decreases with respect to
, N, and b
(and always exceeds 1 b). As described earlier, however,
mutualistic food sharing via immediate recruitment has been adequately
explained by previous work (e.g., Newman
and Caraco, 1989
), and so we do not discuss it further. We concern
ourselves instead with the case where a relatively low value of either
b or r yields a higher population reward from pooling
knowledge at an information center.
In other words, for the remainder of the section, we assume that r
<
0, so that the cooperative strategy is DR. Two
other critical (immediate) recruitment probabilities now determine whether DR
is an ESS, and if so, whether it would evolve in a population of immediate
recruiters. DR is an ESS when r is less than a critical value,
2, which increases with respect to
and
, but decreases with respect to
and N. DR will invade
an IR population to reach fixation when r is less than a second
critical value,
1, which is independent of
,
, and
, but decreases with respect to b and N
(and is always less than 1 b). Thus, the condition for DR to
evolve from an IR population is that
![]() | (29) |
0).
In terms of our model, Heinrich
(1989
) has conjectured that
delayed recruitment evolved in ravens via either a statusenhancement effect or
a posse effect. We have confirmed that either alone may suffice. That is, a
posse effect may suffice in the absence of a status-enhancement effect
(
> 0,
= 0), and a status-enhancement effect may suffice in
the absence of a posse effect (
> 0,
= 0). In either case,
delayed recruitment evolves mutualistically, and where mutualism suffices,
reciprocity is unnecessary. In terms of Mesterton-Gibbons and Dugatkin
(1997
), who stressed the
significance of disparate ecological time scales in balancing the evolutionary
ledger, when a behavior that is potentially altruistic on a short time scale
serves the actor's self-interest on an intermediate time scale, it is
unnecessary to invoke reciprocal interactions over a much longer time scale to
rationalize the behavior. Here, the intermediate time scale is 24 h, the long
time scale is the duration of a winter, and the short time scale is part of a
day, during which the behavior DR is potentially altruistic because there
could be many other juveniles in the vicinity when a DR strategist refrains
from calling, in which case there is a short-term loss of fitness in terms of
social status.
In fact, Heinrich has argued against reciprocity in ravens, and it is
interesting to explore this additional conjecture in the light of our model.
We would expect DR to be sustained by reciprocity only in a region of
parameter space where DR is cooperative but the players are locked in a
prisoner's dilemma (i.e., where T> R> P>
S). Is there such a region? From Figures
2,3,4,5,6,
but especially Figure 3, the
answer is yes, but only if
is sufficiently large, and the larger the
value of
, the bigger the size of the region. Indeed, it is shown in
Appendix B that DR fails to be an ESS, and hence reciprocity over many days is
necessary to sustain cooperation, only if
exceeds the critical value
![]() | (30) |
,
, and b, but
decreases with respect to N. Thus our model predicts that reciprocity
should be important in the evolution of delayed recruitment only if the
status-enhancement effect is sufficiently strong (in the sense that
at
least exceeds
c), and so if Heinrich is right that
reciprocity is absent in ravens, then our model suggests that any
status-enhancement effect must be comparatively weak.
It is tempting to infer that the principal factor for the evolution of
delayed recruitment in ravens is probably a posse effect, but any such
inference must be tentative because some of our assumptions may be unrealistic
in ways that bias the model's predictions away from a major role for the
status-enhancement effect in the evolution of delayed recruitment and thus
exaggerate the importance of the posse effect. Two assumptions are
particularly vulnerable to this criticism: the assumption that carcasses last
only a day (whereas in nature they may last for several weeks), and the
assumption that a gang's probability,
, of repulsing a resident pair
increases linearly with the number I of recruits (whereas empirical
evidence suggests that
= 1 for I
9). On the other hand,
the assumption that an IR strategist fails to rise in status when it discovers
a bonanza previously located by another IR strategist may introduce little or
no bias in this direction (because a DR strategist does rise in status when it
discovers a bonanza previously located by another DR strategist). The
assumption that animals feed solely at bonanzas may introduce an opposite bias
because the presence of other food sources could reduce potential for fitness
gains through status enhancement. Thus we cannot draw any firm conclusions
about the relative importance of the posse and status-enhancement effects in
ravens.
Regardless of whether status enhancement is important, however, Equation 29
implies that DR will evolve in an IR population only if
r<
1 or, on using Equations 17 and 27,
if
![]() | (31) |
![]() | (32) |
In practice, data for both numerator and denominator are hard to find.
Nevertheless, Marzluff et al.
(1996
) suggest that the
distance from which an individual can be attracted is at least 10 km, and it
is known that ravens can forage to a distance of at least 90 km per day
(Heinrich 1988b
). It therefore
seems reasonable to suppose that the numerator and denominator of Equation 32
can be approximated by
(102) and
(902),
respectively, yielding r = (1/9)2 = 1/81
0.01, so
that Equation 31 is satisfied if (1 b)N
80b + 79 > 0. For N
4, as the data strongly
suggest, this inequality reduces to b < 0.9875. Alternatively, and
more conservatively, one could use Marzluff et al.'s
(1996
) map to estimate that
their study area is
km
1830 km
, and in turn use this
number as an estimate of total foraging area, which increases the estimate of
r from about 0.01 to 100
/ 1830
0.17. Then, for N
4, Equation 31 reduces to b < 0.793. Either way, the
constraint on b seems likely to be satisfied because carcasses are
extremely rare and ephemeral (Heinrich,
1988b
). Thus the data tentatively suggest that conditions would
favor a DR mutant in an IR population.
When first hypothesizing that raven roosts are information centers,
Heinrich (1988b
: 153)
expressed concern over "how vagrant (and presumably unrelated) ravens
can evolve a system of deliberate information sharing without being swamped by
cheaters." Cheating matters only if information sharing is kin selected
or reciprocative, however
(Mesterton-Gibbons and Dugatkin,
1992
, 1997
;
Dugatkin, 1977
); if information
sharing is mutualistic instead, then cheating ceases to be an issue. Marzluff
et al. (1996
) effectively
recognized this point in disputing the importance of stable group membership
to the operation of an information center. But although their argument is
reinforced by their empirical results, it remains purely verbal. In contrast,
our mathematical model shows quite rigorously that the logic of delayed
recruitment qua mutualism is sound. Thus our model strengthens Heinrich
(1988b
,
1994a
) and Marzluff et al.'s
(1996
) contention that raven
roosts are information centers.
| APPENDIX A |
|---|
|
|
|---|
The reward matrix
To calculate the reward matrix, we make use of some combinatorial results associated with the binomial distribution. Specifically, for 0 < p < 1, we have
![]() | (33) |
![]() | (34) |
![]() | (35) |
![]() | (36) |
denotes the number of ways of choosing k objects from N. We
will calculate each element of the reward matrix in turn.
First, we calculate R. From Equation 5 we have
A(N + 1) = 1 -
(1 -
), while Equation 33 and
Equation 36 with p = b in Equation 6 yield
![]() | (37) |
Next we calculate T. The focal individual is now an IR strategist.
To calculate the expected value in Equation 8, we must average over the
distributions of both F(Z) and Z. Because
F(Z) = k when N k others
have ceased to search, and because, in a population of DR strategists, an
animal has ceased to search at time Z with probability
G(Z), we have
![]() | (38) |
T(Z) to denote the average of Equation 8
over the distribution of F(Z), for Z <
L we find that
![]() | (39) |
![]() | (40) |
![]() | (41) |
Next we calculate P. First we note that
![]() | (42) |
![]() | (43) |
![]() | (44) |
![]() | (45) |
Finally, we calculate S. From Equations 42 and 45 we have Prob
[Z < min (L, W)] = [1 - (1 -
b)N+1]/(N + 1). Substituting into
Equations 10 and 13, we find that
![]() | (46) |
| APPENDIX B |
|---|
|
|
|---|
The critical recruitment probabilities
Here we calculate the critical recruitment probabilities,
0 and
2, in the case
where both
and
are positive. If we think of R -
T as a function of r, say
, then R -
P =
(r) = B0 -
B1r -
B2r2, where B0,
B1 and B2 defined by
![]() | (47) |
is that of an inverted parabola,
with
(0) > 0,
'(r) = -B1
- 2B2r < 0, and
![]() | (48) |
1. So R - P is positive when r is
less than the positive root of the quadratic equation
(r) =
0, that is, when 0 < r <
0, where
![]() | (49) |
,
,
, b,
and N; however, when
= 1 it depends only on
,
b, and N (because B0,
B1 and B2 are all directly
proportional to
, which therefore scales out of the quadratic equation
for
0). Furthermore, for r = 1 -
b we have
![]() | (50) |
1. Thus
0 > 1 - b,
confirming Equation 28.
Similarly, if we think of R - T as a function of
r, say
, then R - T =
(r) =
C0 - C1r -
C2r2, where
![]() | (51) |
![]() | (52) |
? is defined by Equation 30. Because
(0) =
C0 > 0 and
'(r) =
-C1 -2C2r < 0, R
- T must be positive when
(1) > 0, or
<
?. If, on the other hand,
>
?
so that
(1) < 0, then R - T is positive when
r is less than the positive root of the quadratic equation
(r) = 0. Collating these results, we find that R -
T is positive when 0 < r <
2, where
![]() | (53) |
, b, and N
when
= 1. | APPENDIX C |
|---|
|
|
|---|
|
| ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS |
|---|
|
|
|---|
This research was supported by National Science Foundation awards DMS-9626609 and DMS-9626637 to the authors. We are grateful to Bernd Heinrich for an invaluable discussion and to an anonymous reviewer for detailed and constructive criticism of the original manuscript.
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