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Behavioral Ecology Vol. 11 No. 2: 189-195
© 2000 International Society for Behavioral Ecology

Body mass regulation in response to changes in feeding predictability and overnight energy expenditure

Innes C. Cuthill, Samantha A. Maddocks, Caroline V. Weall and Emma K. M. Jones

Centre for Behavioural Biology, School of Biological Sciences, University of Bristol, Woodland Road, Bristol BS8 1UG, UK

Address correspondence to I. Cuthill. E-mail: I.Cuthill{at}bristol.ac.uk .

Received 16 March 1999; revised 22 July 1999; accepted 7 August 1999.


    ABSTRACT
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 MATERIALS AND METHODS
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION
 REFERENCES
 
Feeding and fat storage entail both costs and benefits. Benefits include minimizing the risk of starvation; costs include mass-dependent costs of locomotion and predation risk. An understanding of these costs and benefits is relevant not only to explanations of foraging patterns and fat storage, but to hoarding decisions, migration strategies, and population dynamics. Despite predictions from theoretical models, empirical tests of the assumptions and predictions of models have been tested only recently. However, published experiments on the effects of unpredictability have often confounded manipulations of mean, variability, and predictability of the food supply, all of which are predicted to affect foraging intensity and fat storage. In experiments on European starlings, Sturnus vulgaris, we manipulated the predictability of the food supply while holding the mean and average variability constant. We did this in conjunction with manipulation of overnight energy expenditure via simulated nocturnal wind exposure. Both greater unpredictability of food availability and higher overnight energy expenditure increased daily mass gain and dusk (lean and fat) mass, but in a purely additive fashion. Dawn mass only changed in response to predictability, not overnight energy expenditure. By introducing a probe day, with identical feeding experience for all treatments, we ascertained that the response to predictability was based on experience integrated over more than a single day.

Key words: fat storage, mass regulation, starvation, trade-offs, Sturnus vulgaris.


    INTRODUCTION
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 MATERIALS AND METHODS
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION
 REFERENCES
 
Trade-offs between the costs and benefits of fat storage have been used to explain variation between and within populations, seasonal and diurnal variation within individuals, and alternative strategies of energy budgeting in birds (reviews by Cuthill and Houston, 1997Go; Lee, 1999Go; Pravosudov and Grubb, 1997Go; Witter and Cuthill, 1993Go). A cost-benefit view of mass regulation is central to models of daily routines of behavior (Bednekoff and Houston, 1994Go; Houston et al., 1993Go; Hutchinson et al., 1993Go; McNamara et al., 1994Go). That theory and experiment have focused largely on birds is not surprising, given the remarkable feat of 15-g endotherms surviving subzero temperatures for the duration of a Scandinavian or Canadian winter (e.g., Lehikoinen, 1987Go; Blem, 1990Go). Small birds in winter face the double jeopardy of higher energetic demands (colder weather, longer nights when the bird cannot feed, reduced shelter by foliage, higher wind exposure) and reduced food supply (shorter days in which to feed, reduced and more unpredictable food supply). All such deteriorations in the energetic environment are likely to favor storage of greater energy reserves (Bednekoff and Houston, 1994Go; Houston and McNamara, 1993Go; Houston et al., 1993Go; Lima, 1986Go; McNamara, 1990Go; McNamara and Houston, 1990Go; McNamara et al., 1994Go) for a given level of cost of carrying these reserves (see, e.g., Witter and Cuthill, 1993Go; Witter et al., 1994Go).

It is not clear which proximate factors produce adaptive changes in body mass (Lee, 1999Go). Birds could assess local conditions directly or use short-term predictive cues (such as changes in the weather) or long-term cues (such as photoperiod). The optimal strategy will depend on the predictive power of the cues, the cost of tracking them, the benefit of energy storage if the conditions change, and the cost of storing energy should conditions fail to change (see discussion and references in Cuthill and Houston, 1997Go). Certainly, there appears to be variation between species, some adjusting mass in a preprogrammed manner with season, others responding to local changes in the environment (Blem, 1990Go; Dawson and Marsh, 1986Go; Rogers et al., 1994Go; Rogers, 1995Go; Waite, 1992Go; see review by Pravosudov and Grubb, 1997Go). The goal of the present study was to investigate the effects of predictability of the food supply, acting in conjunction with changes in overnight energetic expenditure. This focus results from a lack of experiments separating effects of foraging unpredictability from correlated changes and from studies investigating potential nonadditive effects of simultaneous deterioration of more than one factor in the environment.

Changes of fat reserves with experimental manipulation of local environmental conditions have been investigated with regard to mean temperature (Ekman and Hake, 1990Go; Kontogiannis, 1967Go; Kendeigh et al., 1969Go), variability in temperature (Bednekoff et al., 1994Go), sudden changes in overnight temperature (Lilliendahl et al., 1996Go), the length of the entire feeding day (Bednekoff and Krebs, 1995Go), interruptions of feeding during the day (Dall and Witter, 1998Go; Ekman and Hake, 1990Go; Witter and Swaddle, 1997Go; Witter et al., 1995Go), and unpredictability of food supply (Hurly, 1992Go; Witter et al., 1995Go). However, in no case has the effect of predictability been separated from variability, and in several cases the unpredictable/variable treatment was also one with poorer average conditions than the control (e.g., Dall and Witter, 1998Go; Ekman and Hake, 1990Go), or with greater extremes (Bednekoff and Krebs, 1995Go; Bednekoff et al., 1994Go). Witter et al. (1995Go) sought to discriminate effects of unpredictability from the actual time of interruption: fixed-length interruptions could occur in the morning, in the afternoon, in the morning or afternoon with equal probability, or not at all (control). This experimental design was effective in disentangling effects of variable timing of deprivation from the time of day at which deprivation occurred (see discussion in Cuthill and Houston, 1997Go), but it could not separate effects of variability from predictability. That is, food deprivation that occurs in the morning or afternoon could influence fat storage because the deprivation can occur at different times of day (variability) regardless of whether the timing of shortfall is predictable or not. In this context, it is notable that Witter et al. (1995Go) did not systematically record the actual timing of deprivations on the days immediately before each mass measurement; they simply recorded mass in between deprivation days. If response to, say, afternoon and morning deprivation is asymmetric, then recording the mean mass in the variable deprivation treatment cannot reveal whether the birds are responding to variability over and above the additive responses to morning and afternoon deprivations in isolation. That is, the response to variability may in fact be explicable in terms of the sum of responses to local conditions within any one day. To separate these possibilities we used an experimental design in which (1) treatment groups experienced equivalent histories of variability in deprivations, but differed in the predictability of shortfalls, and (2) local (within-day) conditions on the test day were identical, all that differed being the prior history of predictability. Furthermore, we investigated the influence of these effects acting in conjunction with different levels of overnight energetic expenditure.

Temperate birds in winter experience simultaneous deterioration of several factors expected to influence energy budgets (see above). The joint action of two factors negatively influencing the energetic environment is predicted to have a synergistic effect on starvation risk (McNamara and Houston, 1990Go). Accordingly, our experiment was designed to investigate possible nonadditive effects of manipulating both feeding predictability and energetic expenditure on fat storage and body mass. The aspect of energetic expenditure manipulated in the current experiment was nocturnal wind exposure. There is correlational evidence that this affects body mass in the chosen study animal, the European starling Sturnus vulgaris, in the wild. Peach et al. (1992Go), measuring wild starlings captured at roost sites, found that mean body masses of adult starlings were higher on relatively windy nights. Furthermore, controlling for this relationship, mean body mass was negatively correlated with both long-term average temperature and, in the case of adult males at least, prevailing temperature. A direct proximate influence of anticipated nocturnal wind exposure on body mass was demonstrated by Witter et al. (1994Go), so we had some confidence that the treatment would affect mass regulation in this species.


    MATERIALS AND METHODS
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 MATERIALS AND METHODS
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION
 REFERENCES
 
We used six wild-caught, adult female starlings (Sturnus vulgaris), housed at 16 ± 2°C on a 10 h light: 14 h dark photoperiod. Under these conditions starlings are photosensitive (Nicholls et al., 1988Go), and in this physiological state they have previously been shown to respond to manipulations of the energetic environment by changing body mass (Witter et al., 1995Go). Birds were housed singly in 1.0 x 0.3 x 0.4 m cages, in visual but not acoustic isolation, and had ad libitum access to drinking water. After the experiment, they were acclimatized in large, communal flight aviaries open to ambient environmental conditions and, after veterinary inspection, released.

Each starling obtained food from an operant feeder (Campden Instruments model 442 pellet dispenser), which delivered an aliquot of approximately 0.1 g turkey crumbs each time the bird pushed open a 0.03 x 0.03 m hinged transparent plastic window in front of a hopper. However, the feeder was only active, and the birds could only obtain food, when a green cue light above the window was illuminated. Birds were trained to this feeding response by 2 days of exposure to automatic delivery of crumbs at random intervals between 1 and 120 s. Each delivery was paired with illumination of the cue light, the latter being extinguished when the birds pushed open the window to eat the food item. The starlings rapidly learned to push open the window to access the food and to associate the availability of food with the green cue light. In the terminology of operant conditioning, training consisted of a random interval schedule with food delivery paired with illumination of a cue light, and the experimental schedule was a fixed ratio of 1 (i.e., continuous reinforcement) but available only when the cue light was illuminated. During the experiment the starlings therefore had control of how much they ate, but the periods when food was available were under experimental control, with availability obvious from illumination of the cue lights. During both training and the experiment, food was never available during the last 15 min of the day, to allow birds to settle to roost, and for the first 45 min of the day, to allow the cage lining paper and drinking water to be changed and all equipment to be checked. (In practice this disturbance lasted less than 15 min.) Operant control and recording of feeding attempts were via a computer running the Spider system (Paul Fray Ltd.; see, e.g., Cuthill et al., 1990Go; Dall et al., 1997Go). Although the operant feeders detected bird-induced food deliveries, rather than consumption per se, we never found unconsumed items in the hoppers at the end of the day, so these data accurately reflect consumption.

There were four experimental treatments, corresponding to the 2 x 2 factorial combination of manipulations of both predictability of food availability and overnight energetic expenditure. Each bird experienced each of the four treatments, using one-and-a-half Latin squares to balance order as far as possible; that is, four birds experienced treatment orders according to a Latin square, and the remaining two birds received treatments according to two rows of another Latin square. With four treatments and six birds, order and treatment are potentially confounded, but we tested for this explicitly after the experiment. Each treatment lasted for 8 days, with the last day constituting a probe day during which conditions were identical for all birds, and when the key experimental data were collected (see below).

Food availability could be either predictable or unpredictable. In the predictable treatment, a bird's feeder was either active or inactive in alternating half-hour blocks throughout the day (Figure 1). In the unpredictable treatment, the feeding day was similarly divided into half-hour blocks, but whether the feeder was active during any one block was probabilistic, with p =.5. The cue light was illuminated when the feeder became active so that a bird did not have to sample to check the feeder's state. In addition, although feeder availability was random, we screened the computer-generated sequences in advance to check that no day had a particularly high proportion of time when food was unavailable. There were two reasons for this: for the birds' welfare (a day with several sequences of nonavailability of the feeder could lead to a real danger of starvation), and also to ensure that predictability of food availability (the desired manipulation) was not confounded with total duration of food availability (see Hurlbert, 1984Go, on random interspersion of treatments). Thus both treatments offered the same number of hours of food availability (4.5 h), but in one treatment the bird experienced a perfectly predictable sequence of availability and nonavailability, and in the other the bird could not predict when the feeder would be active (Figure 1).



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Figure 1 Examples of the pattern of food availability over a day in the two predictability treatments of the experiment. The day is nominally divided into half-hour blocks when food is either available (open squares) or not (filled squares). In the predictable treatment (top), the feeder is available or not in strict alternation. In the unpredictable treatment (bottom), the probability of the feeder being available within any one half-hour block is 0.5, the figure being an example of one possible sequence that a bird might experience.

 

As the predictable and unpredictable treatments necessarily provided different short-term experience of food gain during each day, any effects on body mass we detected could have been a response to local (within-day) conditions rather than predictability. For example, a bird on the unpredictable treatment may, by chance, not be able to feed during the middle portion of the day and thus feed intensively when food, again by chance, becomes available toward the end of the day. Thus a higher dusk mass in the unpredictable treatment may be a response not to the average predictability of feeding conditions, but to the immediate run of bad luck it experienced in the middle of the day. To deconfound within-day experience from average predictability, we gave birds a probe day on the eighth (final) day of each treatment. On this day, all birds experienced identical within-day conditions of food availability—namely, the perfect alternating food availability of the predictable treatment. For birds on the predictable treatment, day 8 would be just another predictable day. For birds on the unpredictable treatment, the perfect alternation would be just another peculiar sequence of half-hour blocks of availability and nonavailability. Thus any differences in mass accumulation between treatments on the probe days would have to be due to differences in experienced feeding predictability over the preceding week, rather than a response to immediate (within-day) conditions.

Overnight energetic expenditure was manipulated by using electric fans to simulate wind exposure, a technique successfully used by Witter et al. (1994Go). Fans (Carlton model Air 12) were placed 1 m in front of each cage and swiveled back and forth automatically so that the starlings could not easily avoid the air flow. The wind speed was between 0.1 and 0.6 m/s, depending on the exact position within the cage. As all cages were within the same room, the disturbance from noise was similar for all birds, so the level of air flow was the only difference between treatments. These were simply "fan on" or "fan off." Wind exposure increases not only energetic expenditure but also evaporative water loss, so changes in body mass reflect changes in both fat and water content. We estimated body fat independently of body mass (see below) to separate these effects.

Body mass was recorded automatically throughout the day using perches attached to electronic balances (Ohaus model E400) interfaced to a computer. The measurements were accumulated and stable readings estimated to the nearest 0.1 g using Nestbug software (Szép et al., 1995Go). As starlings sat on the perches intermittently, and not all readings stabilized, we used median values for each 1-h block in the final analyses. In addition to automatic recording, at dusk on each probe day we caught the birds and weighed them manually to the nearest 0.1 g. At the same time, we measured total body electrical conductivity (TOBEC) by placing each bird in an EM-Scan Inc. model SA-1 small animal body composition analyzer. Each bird was measured five times, removing and replacing the animal between each measurement to randomize error due to subject placement relative to the electromagnetic coil (Asch and Roby, 1995Go). As fat has low conductance, the TOBEC reading is proportional to lean mass, which can be estimated using a calibration equation derived for the starling by Scott et al. (1991Go). We calculated fat mass by subtracting TOBEC-derived lean mass from directly measured total mass. The reliability of TOBEC as an estimator of lean mass is quite variable for a bird the size of a starling (Asch and Roby, 1995Go; Meijer et al., 1994Go), but the error should have been low in our study because the birds were fully hydrated, dry, warm, and close to the maximum size for the measuring chamber (Asch and Roby, 1995Go). Use of the calibration equation of Meijer et al. (1994Go) produced equivalent results, both in pattern and significance.

In the analyses of probe day data we used the manually measured dusk masses, these being closer to true dusk mass than the electronic balance measures of average mass in the last hour of the day. For dawn mass, we used the mass measured electronically in the first hour of the following day (i.e., the first after experiencing a probe day). For these reasons, the dawn and dusk masses for the probe day analyses (Figure 2) and the equivalent values for the within-day mass trajectories (based on probe day electronic data; see Figure 4) are not identical. All statistical analysis was by repeated-measures ANOVA using Minitab (Ryan and Joiner, 1994Go), after verifying the appropriateness of parametric tests.



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Figure 2 (a) Dusk mass, as measured manually after catching the birds at the end of the probe days, was higher for birds in the unpredictable than in the predictable treatments, and when nocturnal wind exposure was greater (fan on versus fan off). There was no significant interaction. (b) Dawn mass, estimated from automatic perch measurements at the start of the first day after the probe day. Mean mass was higher in the unpredictable than in the predictable treatment, but there were no effects of wind exposure, or an interaction between these factors. (c) Mass gain on probe days. Birds gained significantly more mass when experiencing nocturnal wind exposure and feeding unpredictability, with no significant interaction. (d) There were no significant differences between any treatments in the number of food items consumed on the probe day.

 


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Figure 4 Predictability and wind exposure both affected the daily pattern of mass gain on the probe day, with no significant interaction. The differences in mass between treatments show a similar pattern from dawn to dusk, but the differential is greater in the last few hours of the day.

 


    RESULTS
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 MATERIALS AND METHODS
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION
 REFERENCES
 
Mass at dusk, as measured manually after catching the birds at the end of the probe days, was higher for birds in the unpredictable than in the predictable treatment (Figure 2a; main effect of predictability, F1,5 = 86.56, p <.001). Dusk mass was also higher for birds in the fan-on than in the fan-off treatments (main effect of nocturnal wind exposure, F1,5 = 52.39, p <.001), and there was no significant interaction between feeding predictability and wind exposure (F1,5 = 2.93, p =.147). The changes in dusk mass were due to effects of these treatments on both fat and lean mass (Figure 3; fat mass, main effect of predictability, F1,5 = 19.22, p =.007; of fan, F1,5 = 29.00, p =.003; interaction, F1,5 = 0.19, p =.683; lean mass, main effect of predictability, F1,5 = 13.60, p =.014; of fan, F1,5 = 8.14, p =.036; interaction, F1,5 =.55, p =.493). From electronic measurements of dawn mass on the first day after the probe day, there were effects of predictability (Figure 2b; birds on the unpredictable treatment had higher dawn masses; F1,5 = 11.52, p =.019), but not wind exposure (F1,5 = 0.29, p =.611) or an interaction between these factors (F1,5 = 4.54, p =.086). The differences in dusk mass were not simply due to different masses at the start of the probe day, as birds gained significantly more mass on probe days (Figure 2c) when experiencing nocturnal wind exposure (F1,5 = 9.08, p =.030) and feeding unpredictability (F1,5 = 6.80, p =.048), with no significant interaction (F1,5 = 2.35, p =.186). However, the differences in mass gain did not seem to be due to differences in food consumption. Although the trends were in the same direction as for mass gain, there were no statistically significant effects of treatment on the number of food items consumed over the day, as measured by the operant feeders (Figure 2d; predictability, F1,5 = 0.93, p =.378; wind exposure, F1,5 = 0.13, p =.729; interaction, F1,5 = 0.39, p =.562).



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Figure 3 Both lean (a) and fat (b) mass, as estimated from total body electrical conductivity on catching the birds at the end of the probe days, were higher for birds in the unpredictable than in the predictable treatments, and when nocturnal wind exposure was greater (fan on versus fan off). Interaction terms were not significant.

 

The data also allow us to calculate overnight mass loss on the probe day. Wind exposure induced greater mass loss overnight (F1,5 = 51.97, p <.001), in the face of whatever compensatory responses the birds employed. Interstingly, birds also lost more overnight mass when in the unpredictable treatment (F1,5 = 16.27, p <.010), again with no predictability x fan interaction, F1,5 = 2.10, p =.207).

Predictability and wind exposure both affected the daily pattern of mass gain on the probe day (Figure 4; predictability x hour, F8,40 = 4.67, p <.001; fan x hour, F8,40 = 2.40, p =.032), with no significant interaction (predictability x fan x hour, F8,40 = 0.27, p =.973). The differences in mass between treatments show a similar pattern from dawn to dusk, but the differential is greater in the last few hours of the day (Figure 4). In the predictable/fan-off treatment, birds ceased to gain mass in the last couple of hours of the day, whereas the effect of either feeding unpredictability or forthcoming nocturnal wind exposure was to prolong mass gain. In the most energetically stressful treatment (unpredictable/fan on), birds gained mass at a fairly constant rate throughout the day.


    DISCUSSION
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 MATERIALS AND METHODS
 RESULTS
 DISCUSSION
 REFERENCES
 
The starlings in our experiment responded to both an unpredictable food supply and overnight wind exposure by gaining more mass during the day and reaching a higher body mass at dusk. As mass is higher at both dawn and dusk, and daily mass gain is greater, this result is in accordance with the "true winter fattening" model of Lehikoinen (1987Go). The response to overnight wind exposure is not novel, having been documented in wild starlings (Peach et al., 1992Go) and experimentally demonstrated by Witter et al. (1994Go). However, this is the first study to demonstrate clearly an effect of unpredictability as opposed to variability in food supply and the first to investigate the effects of two factors simultaneously affecting energy budgets. Previous experiments have not separated the effects of unpredictability and variability in food availability, although some have separated the effects of variable deprivation and deprivation per se. However, it is noteworthy that in the latter studies, treatment differences could be interpreted as a response to the worst conditions recently experienced rather than variability itself (Bednekoff and Krebs, 1995Go; Bednekoff et al., 1994Go; Witter et al., 1995Go).

Although our results cannot be attributed to different feeding experiences within the probe day, we still cannot conclude that the birds are encoding predictability. By "encode" we mean that they have an internal representation, either cognitive or physiological, for this particular quality of the external environment (cf. discussions on risk-sensitivity in foraging decisions; Kacelnik and Bateson, 1996Go). In the unpredictable treatment before the probe day, birds experienced the same average amount of feeding time per day as in the predictable treatment, but experienced some individually longer periods of time without food ("runs of bad luck"; see Ydenberg, 1984Go). The predictable treatment never exposed birds to more than 30 min without food, whereas in the unpredictable treatment birds experienced longer runs of both good and bad luck. This is a plausible mechanism by which such patterns of unpredictable food availability could evoke behavioral or physiological adjustments of energy use. With a regular pattern of food availability, the birds can rapidly adapt to a regular routine of feeding (starlings readily learn patterns of food availability at different temporal scales; e.g., Bateson and Kacelnik, 1995Go; Dall et al., 1997Go; Wenger et al., 1991Go). The irregular availability in the unpredictable treatment will result in a mismatch between motivation, or attempts, to feed and the ability to do so. In birds, feeding disruption has been shown to stimulate production of glucocorticosteroids and other hormones in the hypothalamo-pituitary-adrenal cascade, which in turn affects body mass (Wingfield and Ramenofsky, 1997Go; Wingfield et al., 1998Go). A direct prediction of our tentative mechanistic explanation of the effects of unpredictability would be that such interruptions would promote higher, or more prolonged, corticosterone release than predictable interruptions of equivalent duration.

Although half-hour periods without food might seem a trivial interruption to foraging, the possibility of several sequential episodes increases starvation risk, and is predicted to affect the optimal level of energy reserves (Hutchinson et al., 1993Go); McNamara, 1990Go; McNamara and Houston, 1990Go; McNamara et al., 1994Go). Thus, the effect of unpredictable food availability on body mass observed in this experiment is, at face value, what state-dependent models of mass regulation predict (see also Lehikoinen, 1987Go; Lima, 1986Go). However, these models have assumed, not unreasonably, that mass gain is via increased food intake, whereas the different mass gains in our experiment were not attributable to any statistically discernible differences in foraging rates. Therefore we infer that the predicted alterations in daily mass gain were achieved either by altered digestive efficiency or (more likely given the speed of response) reduced activity and metabolic expenditure. The latter has been found in great tits (Parus major) responding to variable overnight temperatures and night lengths (Bednekoff and Krebs, 1995Go; Bednekoff et al., 1994Go). The higher dusk masses in our experiment were due to increases in both fat and lean mass. The higher lean mass, being a measure of all water-soluble material in the bird, could be due both to greater undigested gut contents and water retention. As nocturnal wind exposure must increase evaporative water loss, it would be interesting to investigate whether birds can respond to this by anticipatory water consumption, just as they respond to higher overnight energy expenditure by anticipatory weight gain. The present data cannot distinguish between elevated lean mass due to water and that due to undigested food.

Higher mass at dawn in response to feeding unpredictability was associated with higher mass gains over the probe day, but birds also maintained a higher dawn mass in this treatment. This, the 'true winter fattening' response of Lehikoinen (1987Go), is what might be expected when a run of bad luck (no feeding) is possible at dawn (Hutchinson et al., 1993Go; McNamara et al., 1994Go). It is noteworthy, therefore, that nocturnal wind exposure elevated daily mass gain and mass at dusk, but not dawn mass. With anticipated higher energy expenditure at night, the starlings reached a dusk mass, and/or adjusted energy loss overnight, so as to attain the same dawn mass as in the 'no fan' treatments. As nocturnal wind exposure increases the possibility of overnight starvation but not, by itself, an energy shortfall during the day, this is also consistent with the logic of state-dependent models.

Nocturnal wind exposure and feeding unpredictability have additive effects on mass regulation. Unpredictable foraging increases daily weight gain and dusk mass by the same amount whether the forthcoming night is likely to incur high or low energetic expenditure through wind chill. Simultaneous deterioration of two aspects of the energetic environment are predicted to have a synergistic effect on starvation risk (McNamara and Houston, 1990Go). However, starvation risk need not be linearly related to energy reserves, far less body mass, so it is hard to make clear predictions about the anticipated effects in our experiment without a model tailored to the experimental environment. As such, we simply present this as an empirical finding which may or may not be consistent with current theory. Clearly, small birds face multiple deteriorations in their energetic environment in winter, and this issue deserves further theoretical and empirical investigation.

The daily mass trajectory of starlings in the mildest (predictable/fan-off) treatment showed minimal mass gain in the later hours of the day. It is here that the differences from the other treatments were most marked, with birds gaining mass at a fairly constant rate throughout the day in the harshest (unpredictable/fan-on) treatment. These differences are what one might expect in a low-predation-risk environment (or at least an environment with low mass-dependent predation risk), as here the premium is on minimizing the probability of starvation (McNamara et al., 1994Go). However, there is no reason to expect that captive birds are acting as if predation risk is low (Houston and McNamara, 1989Go), and the predicted optimal daily mass trajectories can be quite parameter sensitive (Hutchinson et al., 1993Go; McNamara et al., 1994Go). Thus, it may be unwise to treat our observed mass trajectories as confirming theoretical predictions. Nevertheless, the elevated reserves at dusk and dawn are qualitatively what one would predict for a small bird facing both high nocturnal energy expenditure and the risk of diurnal feeding interruptions of unpredictable duration (Bednekoff and Houston, 1994Go; Houston and McNamara, 1993Go; Lehikoinen, 1987Go; McNamara and Houston, 1990Go; McNamara et al., 1994Go).


    ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
 
We are particularly grateful to Zoltan Tøth (Department of Genetics, Eötvös University, Müzeum krt. 4/A, 1088 Budapest, Hungary; e-mail tothz@falco.elte.hu) for providing us with the Nestbug software for body mass recording, and for customizing the software for our electronic balances. Many thanks also to Mark Witter, with whom this research program was initiated, for years of enjoyable brainstorming, and likewise to John McNamara, Alasdair Houston, and other members of the Centre for Behavioural Biology at Bristol. This research was funded by Natural Environment Research Council grant GR3/ 8924 to I.C.C. and was completed during a sabbatical funded by the Nuffield Foundation.


    FOOTNOTES
 
E. Jones is now at Silsoe Research Institute, Silsoe, Bedford, MK45 4HS, UK.


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 ABSTRACT
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 DISCUSSION
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