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Behavioral Ecology Advance Access originally published online on May 16, 2008
Behavioral Ecology 2008 19(4):909-919; doi:10.1093/beheco/arn050
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© The Author 2008. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the International Society for Behavioral Ecology. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oxfordjournals.org

Optimal individual positions within animal groups

Lesley J. Morrella and William L. Romeyb

a Institute of Integrative and Comparative Biology, Faculty of Biological Sciences, LC Miall Building, University of Leeds, Leeds LS2 9JT, UK b Department of Biology, State University of New York at Potsdam, Potsdam, New York 13676, USA

Address correspondence to L.J. Morrell. E-mail: L.J.Morrell{at}leeds.ac.uk.

Received 5 October 2007; revised 7 April 2008; accepted 9 April 2008.


    ABSTRACT
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 A SIMPLE CONCEPTUAL MODEL
 OPTIMALITY MODEL OF POSITION...
 DISCUSSION
 FUNDING
 REFERENCES
 
Animal groups are highly variable in their spatial structure, and individual fitness is strongly associated with the spatial position of an animal within a group. Predation risk and food gains are often higher at the group peripheries; thus, animals must trade-off predation costs and foraging benefits when choosing a position. Assuming this is the case, we first use simulation models to demonstrate how predation risk and food gains differ for different positions within a group. Second, we use the patterns from the simulation to develop a novel model of the trade-off between the costs and the benefits of occupying different positions and predict the optimal location for an animal in a group. A variety of testable patterns emerge. As expected, increasing levels of satiation and vulnerability to predators and increasing predation risk result in increased preferences for central positions, likely to lead to increased competition or more tightly packed groups. As food availability increases, individuals should first prefer center positions, then edge, and returning to central positions under highest food levels. Increasing group size and/or density lead to more uniform preferences across individuals. Finally, we predict some situations where individuals differing in satiation and vulnerability prefer a range of different locations and other situations where there is an abrupt dichotomy between central and edge positions, dependent on the levels of monopolization of food by peripheral individuals. We discuss the implications of our findings for the structure of groups and the levels of competition within them and make suggestions for empirical tests.

Key words: competition, group living, group structure, optimization, simulation model.


    INTRODUCTION
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 A SIMPLE CONCEPTUAL MODEL
 OPTIMALITY MODEL OF POSITION...
 DISCUSSION
 FUNDING
 REFERENCES
 
There is growing evidence that the costs and benefits of group living are not experienced equally by all members of the group. The spatial structure of groups is highly variable (Parrish and Hamner 1997Go; Krause and Ruxton 2002Go), and evidence suggests that fitness is strongly related to the spatial position of an individual within a group (Krause and Ruxton 2002Go). In mating groups (e.g., leks), positional preferences for individuals are well understood (Fiske et al. 1998Go), and thus, we consider here only nonmating groups. Energy intake, energy expenditure, and predation risk are likely to be the major factors that differ with respect to position within a stationary group.

The theory of marginal predation (Hamilton 1971Go; Vine 1971Go) suggests that if predators always attack the nearest prey, then peripheral individuals should experience greater risk, and there is good evidence to suggest that this is the case. Across taxa, the levels of predation experienced by animal in a group increase with the distance from the center (e.g., lapwings Vanellus vanellus, Sálek and Smilauer 2002Go; spiders Metepeira incrassata, Rayor and Uetz 1990Go; mussels Mytilus edulis, Okamura 1986Go; and for a review, see Stankowich 2003Go). Even when predators have equal access to central and peripheral individuals, predators still select marginal prey (Romey et al. 2008Go), and sensory biases for peripheral individuals on the part of their predators could contribute to these preferences (Tosh et al. 2006Go). Using simulation models, Bumann et al. (1997)Go demonstrated that predation risk may be strongly biased toward peripheral positions in large shoals of fish.

Foraging gains are also likely to be higher on the periphery of groups foraging on dispersed food particles, as the capture of food items by peripheral individuals limits the food resources available to those in the center (Wilson 1974Go). Burrowing spiders (Seothyra henscheli) show increased growth rates when they are positioned at the edge of a group (Lubin et al. 2001Go). Similar benefits to peripheral positioning have been demonstrated in some colonial spiders M. incrassata (Rayor and Uetz 1990Go, 1993Go). Ant lion larvae (Myrmeleon immaculatus) relocate their pits to the periphery of groups, forming groups in the shape of hollow circles, to minimize this competition (Linton et al. 1991Go). In fish, individuals at the front of moving shoals are more likely to obtain food (Krause 1994Go), and in groups of whirligig beetles (Dineutes spp.), 95% of food particles are captured by the outer echelon of individuals (Romey 1995Go). Simulation modeling illustrates that such competition increases in intensity as the density of a group increases. In high-density groups, only peripheral individuals can forage successfully, but in low-density groups, some prey items reach the group center (Lubin et al. 2001Go).

To maximize survival, individuals within a group need to simultaneously avoid starvation by foraging and avoid falling prey to a predator. The experimental and theoretical evidences above demonstrate that both tend to be significantly higher at the periphery of a group, and thus, an individual cannot simultaneously choose one position that maximizes both. Gregarious animals have been shown to balance these competing selection pressures (Okamura 1986Go; Rayor and Uetz 1990Go) and base their decisions both on external pressures and on internal state variables such has hunger levels (Krause 1994Go; Romey 1995Go). There are several mechanistic models which relate proximate factors such as attraction–repulsion rules, speed, and trajectory to group position (Romey 1996Go; Krause et al. 2000Go; Hemelrijk and Kunz 2005Go) but few that directly tie evolutionary fitness to position (but for a theoretical study of the effect of spatial position on vigilance and survival, see Beauchamp 2007Go), particularly when considering trade-offs between differing selection pressures.

Here, we investigate the effect of the trade-off between foraging gains and predation risk on the optimal position for an individual within a group. There are several key areas that we will examine: first, we will look at how internal state variables influence position preferences. A fully satiated individual, for example, might be predicted to occupy a central position where it is safer from marginal predation, but how would intermediately satiated individuals trade-off the foraging gains and predation risk of peripheral positions? Second, we will investigate how external selection pressures such as food availability and predation risk affect an individuals’ position preference. Finally, we will study the impact of group properties (such as size and density) on optimal positions. Our aim is to generate the first general predictions regarding the spatial positioning of individuals, as a function of empirically manipulable conditions, and to investigate possible implications for group structure and competition levels within the group.

Our model is applicable to groups in which social hierarchies have not developed. There are several terms in the literature that are used to describe this type of simple group, including "congregation" (Parrish and Hamner 1997Go), "ephemeral group" (Hirsch 2007Go), and "FSH" (for flocks, shoals/schools, and herds; Romey 1997Go). The primary criteria are that individuals do not form long-lasting dominance hierarchies, they are gregarious, and entry to or exit from the group is not restricted. Fish shoals and insect swarms are good examples of this type of group. In more complex groups, with, for example, stable dominance hierarchies, interactions between individuals are partly responsible for determining positions within the group (Hirsch 2007Go). Examples of such groups include primates, foraging bird flocks, and ungulates (Barta et al. 1997Go; Ruckstuhl and Neuhaus 2005Go; Hirsch 2007Go). However, at times, even these types of groups might act in the simple way we propose here (such as during times of migration when smaller groups combine into larger ones for several weeks of the year).


    A SIMPLE CONCEPTUAL MODEL
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 A SIMPLE CONCEPTUAL MODEL
 OPTIMALITY MODEL OF POSITION...
 DISCUSSION
 FUNDING
 REFERENCES
 
The evidence presented above suggests that both food availability and prey capture rates are greater on the edge than at the center of a (stationary) group. Therefore, individuals occupying central positions should benefit from reduced predation risk but pay the cost of reduced food intake. In contrast, peripheral individuals benefit from increased food intake but suffer from greater levels of predation. It is also likely that the costs and benefits of occupying different spatial positions may be affected by the "state" of the individual concerned. Hungry individuals may place a greater emphasis on foraging and therefore be willing to accept a greater risk of predation, whereas individuals that are well defended against predators (e.g., those that have high levels of toxic compounds, Eisner 2003Go), strong behavioral defenses, or large body size) may place a lower emphasis on risk.

In the conceptual model (Figure 1), foraging success (probability of surviving) increases as individuals occupy more peripheral positions and the probability of surviving a predator attack decreases as a function of risk. Hypothetical fitness functions are shown for 2 levels of hunger (satiated individuals are more likely to survive regardless of their position) and 2 levels of defense (well-defended individuals also have a higher survival rate). Individuals attempt to maximize their survival through both foraging gains and avoiding predators. The optimum position for an individual to occupy is found where overall survival is highest, which can be found most simply by multiplying the 2 fitness functions. A key assumption is that animals simultaneously, rather than sequentially, balance conflicting selection pressures, as found in previous manipulative studies (Romey 1995Go). There are likely to be other situations where individuals switch positions conditionally in response to a predation threat, for example (see Hamilton 1971Go). Although this conceptual model illustrates one potential class of functions linking position to evolutionary fitness, it has not been empirically tested whether the relationship between these factors is directly proportional. We use simulation modeling (see below) to generate patterns that are potentially more likely to be found in empirical systems. We take the results of the simulation modeling to develop an optimality model of the trade-off between predation risk and foraging gains.


Figure 1
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Figure 1 (a) Conceptual model relating fitness to the distance from the center of the group. Food availability and risk of predation increase with distance from center for individuals that are hungry or satiated and at low (defended) or high (vulnerable risk of predation). (b) Graph of combined fitness due to multiplicative effects of a given combination of food availability and predation risk (e.g., defended x hungry). Filled circles and dropped lines indicate the optimum distance from the center for each type of individual.

 

    OPTIMALITY MODEL OF POSITION TRADE-OFFS
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 A SIMPLE CONCEPTUAL MODEL
 OPTIMALITY MODEL OF POSITION...
 DISCUSSION
 FUNDING
 REFERENCES
 
Simulation of predation risk and foraging gains
Previous authors have modeled how predation risk and foraging gains change as a function of the distance from the center of a group (Linton et al. 1991Go; Bumann et al. 1997Go; Lubin et al. 2001Go). We follow their approaches here to simulate how predation risk and foraging gains change with position in a group and how risk and gains are affected by parameters of interest. Our aim is to build on this background to generate predictions for patterns of food gain and predation risk as a function of spatial position and other parameters of interest, in the same modeling environment, from which we can develop a specific model of this trade-off. All modeling was carried out in Matlab R2006b. Model parameters are outlined in Table 1. In the simulation, N point-like individuals are positioned within a circle of radius r (Figure 2). Individuals were placed at random by first selecting an angle from a uniform distribution between 0° and 360° and then a random distance from the center of the circle. Distances (d) were selected as the square root of a distance picked from a uniform distribution between 0 and r2. This approach gives a uniform density of points within a circle. We carry out separate simulations for predation risk and foraging gains as these are measured in different "currencies" (per capita predation risk and per capita number of food items consumed, see below), which are difficult to combine into a single fitness measure (Krebs and Kacelnik 1991Go; Clark and Mangel 2000Go). Risk and gains are combined in the optimality model below.


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Table 1 Parameters used in the models

 

Figure 2
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Figure 2 N individuals (black filled circles, here N = 10) are placed within a circle of radius r (solid-edged circle). Each individual is a distance d from the center of the circle. (a) Predators, P (large checkerboard circle, here P = 2), appear at random within a circle of radius R (dashed circle) and attack the nearest individual (solid arrow). (b) Each individual can move a distance c to capture food items (dotted circles surrounding the individuals). Food items (f) enter from the outside of the group (dashed lines) and are intercepted by individuals at the solid diamond. Note that (a and b) are drawn to different scales.

 
Predation risk
P predators were added within a circle of radius R (Figure 2a), using the same methodology as for the prey. We use a large value of R (R = 20) such that the vast majority of predators predominantly appear outside the prey group, attacking from the periphery (Hamilton 1971Go), although some predators may attack from inside the group, particularly when r is larger (r = 10 is the largest value we use: 25% of predators attack from within the group in this case). Although marginal predation is common, one can imagine some situations where central individuals may be attacked: ground or water surface–dwelling animals subject to aerial predation, for example. Parrish (1989)Go found that fast moving predatory fish are able to capture prey in the center of the shoal. Prey individuals are attacked solely based on their position (Ranta et al. 1994Go); each predator attacks the nearest prey individual (Hamilton 1971Go; Bumann et al. 1997Go), with a probability a that the prey avoids the predator attack. Prey avoidance probability a therefore measures the level of antipredator defense possessed by the prey. This may be in the form of physical defenses such as spines or distasteful chemicals or in the form of behavioral defenses such as a rapid escape response or vigilance allowing the prey to detect the predator and then escape. We record the distance from center (d) for each successfully attacked prey individual. Each predator attacks in turn, and consumed prey are removed from the group. We are interested in how animals should respond to overall levels of predation risk rather than immediate behavioral responses to the presence of an attacking predator. We therefore assume no collective vigilance by the prey group, which may result, for example, in the rapid compaction of a prey group when a predator appears (e.g., Foster and Treherne 1981Go; Krause and Tegeder 1994Go). Such behavioral responses to an attacking predator have been studied in the context of selfish herd behavior, for example (Hamilton 1971Go; Morton et al. 1994Go; Viscido et al. 2002Go; Morrell and James 2008Go).

We divided the group into 20 concentric zones of equal width. Thus, the edge of the most central zone was located a distance r/20 from the circle center and contained all individuals in that area, and the most peripheral zone contained those individuals between 0.95r and r from the center. Thus, more individuals were able to occupy peripheral positions than central ones. The per capita risk for each zone was calculated as the number of attacks directed at individuals in that zone divided by the total number of individuals in the zone. Figures 3 and 4 are plotted as per capital risk against the lower bound of each zone (i.e., the risk for individuals in the most central zone are plotted against zero, and for those in the most peripheral zone, risk is plotted against 0.95). We ran 10 000 simulations for each set of parameter values to obtain an estimate of the mean per capita predation risk for each zone. Each simulation consisted on one attack by each of the P predators.


Figure 3
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Figure 3 Effect of varying parameters on the link between occupied position (x axis) and per capita risk of predation (y axis) in the simulation model. (a) Varying group size (N). Filled squares: N = 10, filled circles: N = 20, open squares: N = 50, open circles, N = 100. (b) Varying number of predators (P). Filled squares: P = 1, filled circles: P = 2, open squares: P = 5, open circles, P = 10. (c) Varying the probability of an individual evades a predator attack (a). Filled squares: a = 0, filled circles: a = 0.2, open squares: a = 0.4, open circles, a = 0.6. (d) Varying the radius of the circle formed by the group (r: equivalent to varying density). Filled squares: r = 1.128, filled circles: r = 1.596, open squares: r = 2.253, open circles, r = 3.568. For each panel, all other parameter values are as follows: N = 20, P = 2, a = 0.2, r = 1.595. Distances from the center are scaled between 0 and 1 (zero being the center and 1 being the maximum value of r) to allow comparisons to be made between figure panels.

 

Figure 4
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Figure 4 Effect of varying parameters on the number of food items captured in the simulation. (a) Varying group size (N). Filled squares: N = 10, filled circles: N = 20, open squares: N = 50, open circles, N = 100. (b) Varying number of food items (f). Filled squares: f = 10, filled circles: f = 20, open squares: f = 50, open circles, N = 100. (c) Varying the distance over which an individual can capture a food item (c). Filled squares: c = 0.05, filled circles: c = 0.1, open squares: c = 0.2, open circles, c = 0.3. (d) Varying the radius of the circle formed by the group (r: equivalent to varying density). Filled squares: r = 1, filled circles: r = 2, open squares: r = 5, open circles, r = 10. For each panel, all other parameter values are as follows: N = 20, f = 20, c = 0.2, r = 1.595. Distances from the center are scaled between 0 and 1 (zero being the center and 1 being the maximum value of r) to allow comparisons to be made between figure panels.

 
Food gains
A fixed number of food items f enters the prey circle sequentially (Figure 2b). Food items are equally likely to appear at any point outside the group and move in straight lines across the circle where they are intercepted by prey individuals. Food items are modeled as chords drawn within the group circle. Following Baker and Zemel (2000)Go, we use an unbiased algorithm for the identification of chords; thus, the probability of a chord crossing over any given point within the circle is independent of the position in the circle (Baker and Zemel 2000Go). First, we randomly select an angle {alpha}f from the circle center and then a distance from the center df (from a uniform distribution between 0 and r). The chord is then drawn at right angles to {alpha}f, passing through the position defined by {alpha}f and df. A food item moves along the length of the chord in discrete steps, and at each step, we calculate the distance from each prey individual to the food item. The first individual within a capture distance c successfully consumes the food item. If no individuals are within the capture distance, the food item moves another step. If more than one individual is within c, then the closest is assumed to successfully consume prey. A large value of c means that individuals can move some distance to intercept prey items (e.g., individuals in mobile groups such as whirligigs). A small value for c indicates that individuals are unable to move large distances (foragers with fixed positions such as ant lions). The value of c is always smaller than the value of r, constraining individuals to movement less than the radius of the group but allowing movement outside the group boundary to intercept prey (similar to a fish darting out from a shoal to capture a prey item). There is no limit on the number of prey items any individual can consume, and all prey items carry equal nutritional value. After capturing a food item, individuals return to their original location within the group. We calculate the total number of food items consumed by each individual and use this to calculate the per capita food consumption for individuals in each zone (as above). Again, we ran 10 000 simulations for each set of parameter values to obtain an estimate of the mean per capita foraging success for individuals in each zone.

We use the simulation model to investigate the relationship between distance from group center and predation risk. We vary each parameter separately while holding the others constant. Figures give examples of the type of results our model generates. We vary the size of the group (N), the density of the group (N/r), the number of predators (P), the radius of the circle in which the predator appears (and therefore the probability that the predator attack comes from outside the group; R), and the probability that an individual avoids a predator attack (a). To investigate the relationship between distance from group center and foraging gains, we vary group size (N), the number of food items (f), the capture distance (c), and the radius of the group (r; this effectively alters the density, calculated as N/{pi}r2).

Results of simulated foraging and predation
In line with our expectations and the findings of previous simulations (Linton et al. 1991Go; Bumann et al. 1997Go), predation risk and foraging gains both increase with the distance from the group center (Figures 3 and 4). Each panel in Figures 3 and 4 shows the per capita risk (Figure 3) or per capita food gains (Figure 4) for 4 different values for one of the variable parameters. All other parameters are kept constant. As group size (N, but not density, N/{pi}r2 remains constant as N increases) increases, per capita risk decreases for all individuals and is reduced to zero for those in central positions (Figure 3a). Increasing the number of predation events (P) also has the expected effect of increasing risk, particularly for individuals toward the edge of the group (Figure 3b). An increased probability of escaping from a predator attack (a) decreases overall risk (Figure 3c). Finally, there was little effect of increasing the density of the group (decreasing r) on predation risk (Figure 3d).

Per capita foraging gains also decreased as group size (N) increased (Figure 4a), as food items were split among more group members. As the number of food items (f) increased, capture rate also increased, although this was primarily of benefit to peripheral group members (Figure 4b), that is, our model predicts a greater asymmetry in this one selective factor as food level increases. Peripheral individuals are increasingly able to monopolize resources when capture distances (c) are large, but food is more evenly distributed among members when their movement is constrained (small values of c; Figure 4c). Finally, lower densities of individuals within the group (increasing r) lead to a more even distribution of food (Figure 4d).

Simulation of optimal position within a group
We use the shapes of the curves generated using the simulation model above to define suitable mathematical functions linking the position of an individual within a group to the risk of predation and the gains from foraging. This approach allows us to investigate more closely the impact of varying parameter values on the optimal position of an individual within a group. The equations were chosen to approximate the shape of the curves generated by the simulation model and were fitted by eye to the general shape of the data. Variation in the parameter values results in changes similar to those demonstrated by the simulation model, and the constants in each equation serve to match the shape and magnitude of the resulting curve more closely to the simulation results.

The costs (C) of occupying any given position within a group (Figure 3) can be described by a logistic function of the form

Formula (1)

This value represents the probability that an individual is successfully attacked by a predator, given its position within the group and the number of predation events relative to the size of the group.

The number of food items an individual is able to obtain, given their position within the group (Figure 4), can be described using a similar function:

Formula (2)

The constants 0.1, 100, and 0.8 serve to approximate the shape and magnitude of foraging gains curve generated by the simulation model. An individual's probability of surviving is a function of the number of food items gained and their current level of satiation (s). A food item gained by an individual with a low satiation level decreases their probability of starvation by a greater amount than the same food item gained by an individual whose satiation level is already high. We calculate the probability that an individual starves (S), given its current food reserves and the gains from occupying any position, using the following equation:

Formula (3)

The fitness of an individual depends on it avoiding both predation and starvation, and this is a multiplicative function (as illustrated in Figure 1) of the probability that it avoids starvation (1 S) and the probability that the individual avoids predation (1 – C):

Formula (4)

The optimal position of an individual within a group is given by the value of d, which maximizes the value of W.

We investigate the effect of altering the parameters on the optimal position of an individual in a group. In particular, we are interested in the effect of the internal state variables (escape probability a and satiation s) and environmental selection pressures (food availability f and predation risk P) on optimal group position. We also investigate the effects of changes in capture distance (c), group radius (r), and group size (N).

Results for optimality model
Our model makes a number of predictions as to how the optimal position of an individual within a group varies according to the parameters of the model. We see a number of intuitive results (Figure 5). First, as satiation level increases, or probability of escaping from a predator decreases, animals preferentially occupy central positions (Figure 5a). This predicts that within a group of individuals where there is variation in satiation and defense levels, there should be considerable variation in optimal positions for those individuals. Central positions would be occupied by satiated individuals with little chance of escaping a predator, whereas peripheral positions would be occupied by hungry individuals with a good chance of escaping from a predator, as predicted by the simple conceptual model of Figure 1.


Figure 5
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Figure 5 Results of the model. (a) The effect of increasing levels of satiation (s; x axis) and probability of escaping a predator (a; y axis). Shading indicates the optimal distance from the group center of an individual with each combination of satiation (s) and escape probability (a), where black indicates central positions (d = 0) and white indicates peripheral positions (d = 1; all panels). Parameter values used: N = 10, P = 2, f = 20, c = 0.05, r = 2. (b) As panel (a) but with predation risk increased to P = 5. (c) As panel (a) but with group size increased to N = 20. (d) As panel a) but with group radius decreased to r = 0.5 (increased group density).

 
Figure 5a represents baseline levels: Figure 5b–d represent results when a single parameter value relative to Figure 5a. Increasing the risk of predation (Figure 5b) results in an increased preference for central positions (comparing Figure 5a with b, which illustrates the effect of increasing predation risk) for any given combination of satiation and escape probability. This would predict that competition for central positions may increase, or groups may become increasingly compact, with reduced distances between individuals. Increasing group size (but not density; Figure 5c) results in more uniform preferences: differences in satiation and defense levels have a lower impact on position preferences in larger groups than in smaller groups, for constant levels of food availability and predation risk (comparing Figure 5a and c). In this case, we would predict that animals would be competing for similar positions within a group, however, preferences are for reasonably peripheral positions, and we may expect the group to expand. Finally, increasing the density of the group (but not the number of individuals; Figure 5d) results in a shift in preference for more peripheral positions (comparing Figure 5a and d), particularly for individuals with high satiation levels but low probabilities of escaping from a predator attack. High densities may therefore also lead to the group spreading out and therefore becoming less dense.

The model also generates a number of less intuitive results, which suggest testable predictions not yet explored in empirical systems. For example, as food availability increases, preferences alter from central to peripheral positions (Figure 6). Then, as food availability increases further, from intermediate to high levels, the optimal position shifts back to the center again. This is likely to occur because low food availability means that the foraging gains from occupying peripheral positions are not sufficient to outweigh the predation costs of occupying those positions. As food availability increases, the potential benefits to be gained means that individuals can offset predation costs in peripheral positions. However, further increases in food availability mean that more food items are able to penetrate into the center of the group, and it becomes worthwhile for individuals to occupy those central positions once again. As the food available to a group increases, we might expect to see the group expanding and then contracting again as the optimal position preferences of individuals alter.


Figure 6
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Figure 6 Effects of increasing satiation (s) and food availability (f) on the optimal distance from the group center (d). Shading again indicates optimal position as in Figure 4. Other parameter values used: N = 10, r = 2, a = 0.2, P = 2, c = 0.05.

 
Figures 5 and 6 show a continuum of positional preferences, from center to edge, including preferences for intermediate positions. Increasing the distance over which individuals can move to capture the prey (c) can result in a different pattern appearing. As capture distance increases, instead of a continuous set of preferences (Figure 7a), the range of satiation and defense combinations that predict intermediate optimum positions decreases (Figure 7b). Further increases in capture distance lead to preferences for either very central or very peripheral positions (Figure 7c,d). When individuals can only move a short distance relative to the area of the group (low c), many food items will penetrate the group, meaning that central individuals benefit from avoiding predation but are also able to gain food. If individuals can move a greater distance relative to the area of the group, then individuals on the very edge of the group capture all the available prey items, leaving none for the central individuals. Satiated individuals (that do not need to capture food resources to ensure survival) therefore benefit by positioning themselves in a location which leads to the greatest avoidance of predation (the absolute center of the group), whereas hungry and/or well-defended individuals move to the position which affords them the greatest food capture (the very edge). In this instance, we might expect to see a group with a very compact center but with reduced distances between neighbors.


Figure 7
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Figure 7 Effect of altering capture distance (c) on optimal distance from the group center (d). Each panel shows the effect of satiation (s) and escape probability (a) on optimal position in a group (d). Shading again indicates optimal position: black indicates center positions (d = 0) and white indicates peripheral positions (d = 1). Each panel shows different value for capture distance (c). Other parameter values are N = 10, P = 2, f = 20, and r = 2. (a) c = 0.05, (b) c = 0.075, (c) c = 0.1, (d) c = 0.15.

 

    DISCUSSION
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 A SIMPLE CONCEPTUAL MODEL
 OPTIMALITY MODEL OF POSITION...
 DISCUSSION
 FUNDING
 REFERENCES
 
Our model illustrates a variety of potential optimum positions for individuals of differing internal state, namely, satiation levels and escape capabilities. We focus our investigation on variations in patterns in these 2 internal factors, as these are the most likely to vary between individuals within a group. Factors such as the availability of food, the abundance of predators, and the size of a group, for example, are likely to be common to all group members and represent external selection pressures. If individuals within a group differ in satiation and escape capabilities, then our model demonstrates that they should differ in their positional preferences. We find conditions under which all individuals prefer similar locations within the group (Figure 5c), conditions where there is a spectrum of preferences from central to edge positions (Figure 5a), and conditions where there appears to be an abrupt dichotomy/cutoff in preferences for central and edge positions (Figure 7). To our knowledge, this is the first time such patterns have been investigated theoretically, and they have implications for the overall structuring of groups (Parrish and Edelstein-Keshet 1999Go).

If individuals show a spectrum of preferences based on their combination of satiation and escape parameters (Figure 5a), then assuming relatively even variation in these parameters, each individual should be able to occupy its optimal position, and competition for positions within the group may be reduced. If, however, the majority of individuals show a preference for similar positions (Figure 5c), we might expect that competition for those positions is increased. If overall preferences are for peripheral positions (Figure 5c), then individuals are likely to move outward, leading to an increase in the area occupied by the group or the formation of circular groups with empty centers (Barta et al. 1997Go). Alternatively, such patterns may lead to the breakdown of the group, as individuals move further apart in order to maximize their foraging success. Outward movement of individuals is likely to be triggered by cues such as a reduction in perceived levels of predation risk, increased group size (e.g., if 2 groups merge), or increasing hunger levels for an individual.

If all individuals prefer more central positions (as would happen if predation risk increased [Figure 5b], food availability was high [Figure 6], or individuals became increasingly satiated), then groups should become increasingly compact. Increasing density of individuals within a group (i.e., increasing levels of aggregation) in response to a perceived predation threat is common across taxa (Foster and Treherne 1981Go; Krause and Tegeder 1994Go; Watt et al. 1997Go; Viscido and Wethey 2002Go). These predictions for changing group structure could easily be tested in empirical systems by, for example, altering the availability of food.

If all individuals have preferences for similar, central locations, they might also be predicted to compete for those preferred positions. In our model, we assumed the absence of interaction effects between individuals, which might lead to competition and dominance hierarchies (despotic distributions). In groups where membership is constant and individual recognition is possible, such hierarchies often develop (for a review, see Hirsch 2007Go). In such groups, individuals are unlikely to be free to position themselves at their optimum point, as there is likely to be competition for positions within a group. Dominance, for example, is known to structure groups, with dominant individuals occupying central positions and forcing subordinates to the periphery (e.g., capuchin monkeys Cebus capucinus; Hall and Fedigan 1997Go). However, our model may be useful in determining the types of environmental conditions under which competition for positions may arise. Where predation risk is high, for example, many individuals will have similar preferences for central positions, leading to high competition and potential for the development of hierarchies. Where there is a range of preferences for the individuals, competition for particular positions is less likely. Further modeling work could be used here to predict how groups are structured when individuals are not free to occupy their optimal position but must contend with conspecifics who may be seeking similar positions.

Even in the absence of direct competition for positions, individuals within a group may impact on food intake and antipredator behavior of others. Our model already includes the effects of shadow competition (Wilson 1974Go), where peripheral individuals limit the availability of food to central ones, but the position occupied by any given individual is likely to depend on the behavior of the other group members. If the majority of individuals moved to peripheral positions, for example, an isolated individual in the center of a group may be at greater predation risk due to its isolation and might benefit by moving toward other individuals (Hamilton 1971Go), away from the center of the group. A game theoretical approach where individual decisions are influenced by the choices of other group members (Houston et al. 2003Go; Morrell 2004Go; Morrell and Kokko 2004Go) would provide a more accurate picture of the dynamics of spatial positioning within groups and allow investigation of how competition for positions within groups could be played out. Our model does not include this level of complexity but provides a basis on which such a game theory model could be built and provides predictions that could be tested in empirical systems.

A final pattern that we observe from our model is one where either very central or very peripheral positions are preferred (Figure 7c–d). It is more difficult to predict the structure of the group from this pattern, although we may expect to see groups remaining together, with a cluster of individuals at the center and others occupying the periphery. In whirligig groups, for example, central individuals tend to be closely packed and nearest neighbor distances increase toward the periphery of the group (Romey 1995Go). Alternatively, as mentioned above, the positioning of other individuals in the group may exert a strong influence on the behavior of others, causing central individuals to move to more peripheral positions (to benefit from the dilution effect; e.g., Foster and Treherne 1981Go) or peripheral individuals moving into a second "tier" behind the most peripheral to reduce their predation risk (Hamilton 1971Go). Moving away from other individuals may also lead to a perceived reduction in group size, altering the trade-off and changing the optimal location for an individual. Empirical investigation or more complex modeling approaches could shed light on how animals respond to conditions such as these.

The majority of studies looking at the effect of group positioning consider only "central" versus "peripheral" individuals, with no intermediate individuals—they are either on the edge or not. Thus, there is a lack of empirical data defining the shapes of the foraging and predation risk curves. However, some empirical studies suggest that predators attack only the most peripheral individuals in a group. In fish attacking Daphnia (Milinski 1977Go) or groups of surface-dwelling whirligigs (Romey et al. 2008Go), the predators choose only the individuals on the very edge, suggesting that intermediate positions are actually as safe as those in the very center. Empirical work is needed to investigate this, as our results likely depend on the shapes of the curves that are assumed to link distance from the group center with predation risk and food availability or intake. However, under certain parameter values, our model in fact predicts a dichotomy between individuals that prefer central positions and those that prefer edge positions. Only small alterations in their levels of satiation or escape probability switch preferences from the center to the edge, suggesting that categorizing individuals as central or peripheral may be an adequate description.

Our model includes several further simplifying assumptions. First, the selection pressures that we considered most important to the fitness of individuals within a group were predation and food distribution, but there are other factors that could influence fitness and should be considered in future studies (such as energy expenditure or potential for reproduction). We assume that there are foraging benefits to occupying peripheral positions—our model applies to situations where groups are foraging on dispersed food resources. Alternatively, groups may be centered on a food resource or moving together toward aggregated resources. If this is the case, then food gains are likely to be higher for centrally positioned individuals or those leading the groups. In this case, dominance will play a key role in the structuring of the group, as dominants are able to monopolize access to food (Hirsch 2007Go) and simultaneously occupy lower predation risk positions.

Our model considers only stationary groups, but in many species, moving groups are common. Rather than differential predation risk and foraging gains from center to edge, these groups are likely to differ from front to back. Individuals at the front of moving groups tend to have higher foraging success, and front positions tend to be occupied by hungry individuals (Krause et al. 1998Go; Romey and Galbraith 2008Go). There is, however, likely to be an energy cost in occupying front positions, and individuals at the back can make considerable energetic savings (Krause and Ruxton 2002Go). Predation risk is also likely to vary as a function of distance from the front of a group. In chub (Semilotus atromaculatus), individuals occupying front positions suffered from greater levels of predation than individuals in rear positions (Bumann et al. 1997Go). Front positions may therefore be equivalent to edge positions, but with the added energetic costs.

Predators may also make deliberate decisions as to which individual within a group prey to target, rather than attacking peripheral individuals at random (Stankowich 2003Go). Predators may more successfully track individuals at the edge of groups due to the confusion effect (Neill and Cullen 1974Go), explaining why in some systems only very peripheral individuals are attacked (Milinski 1977Go; Romey et al. 2008Go). Alternatively, predators may attack individuals that are phenotypically or behaviorally distinct from the rest of the group (the oddity effect; Landeau and Terborgh 1986Go). Sparrowhawk (Accipiter nisus) attacks on redshank (Tringa totanus) depend on several behavioral factors related to the vulnerability of the prey (Quinn and Cresswell 2004Go) rather than solely on position within the group. Isolation of individuals may also be important: the selfish herd hypothesis predicts that individuals are attacked in proportion to the size of their "domain of danger" and the area around each individual that is closer to it than to any other individual (Hamilton 1971Go). The perceptual ability of a predator may also limit predation risk for peripheral foragers (James et al. 2004Go; Morrell and James 2008Go). Levels of antipredator vigilance may also play a role and may differ spatially within groups (Beauchamp 2007Go). Higher vigilance by peripheral individuals may reduce the foraging benefits associated with occupying such positions, for example, leading to increased preferences for central locations or occupation of peripheral positions by more satiated individuals who have less need to forage.

Individuals are likely to want to switch positions within a group. In colonial spiders (M. incrassata), larger females with egg sacs show a strong preference for central positions, whereas younger spiders prefer peripheral positions, as they have yet to attain sufficient size for successful reproduction (Rayor and Uetz 1993Go). If hungry individuals occupy peripheral positions, then as those individuals become increasingly satiated, their preference for the safer, central locations should increase, resulting in a rotation of positions within a group (see also Krause and Ruxton 2002Go). Such a cycling of positions due to changing hunger levels can be seen in whirligig groups (Romey 1995Go). Nutritionally deprived roach (Rutilus rutilus) and chub (Leuciscus cephalus) show strong preference for front positions (Krause 1993cGo), but frightened minnows (Phoxinus phoxinus) tended to seek positions in the center of shoals (Krause 1993aGo, 1993bGo).

We included satiation and the ability to escape once attacked as the internal state variables in our model. In reality, both of these factors may be correlated with an individual's size, parasite load, age (Krause and Ruxton 2002Go), and sex (Romey and Wallace 2007Go) or may be dependent on one another if an animal's ability to escape from a predator depends on its energy levels or investment in chemical defenses (i.e., condition-dependent antipredator responses). These patterns may either confound attempts to distinguish the factors underlying positional choices or provide a means by which preferences can be systematically investigated. In the laboratory, many of the parameters of our model (such as hunger levels, food availability, and perceived risk of predation) can easily be manipulated, and in certain species, this may also be possible with levels of defense. It would be instructive to investigate levels of competition and group structure in response to changes in these parameters, for groups where individuals differ in one or more of the internal state variables.

Combining different factors such as foraging and predation risk into a single fitness function can also be problematic, as they are measured in different currencies (one as a risk and one as food intake). Stochastic dynamic modeling provides useful methodology for combining currencies that can be measured in natural systems (Krebs and Kacelnik 1991Go; Clark and Mangel 2000Go; Krause and Ruxton 2002Go), and this approach could be applied to the positioning behavior of individuals within groups (Krause and Ruxton 2002Go; Hirsch 2007Go). Finally, there are many other factors which may influence positioning within a group and which should be considered in future approaches, including dominance hierarchies (Hirsch 2007Go), aggression (Hemelrijk 2000Go), food acquisition tactics (producer–scrounger behavior; Barta et al. 1997Go; Mónus and Barta 2008Go), condition-dependent predator avoidance, trade-offs with other behaviors such as vigilance or mating (Houston et al. 2003Go; Morrell 2004Go; Jackson and Ruxton 2006Go), and game theoretical approaches. Such future investigations could provide a fascinating insight into the dynamics of grouping in animals, extending the predictions we make here.


    FUNDING
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 A SIMPLE CONCEPTUAL MODEL
 OPTIMALITY MODEL OF POSITION...
 DISCUSSION
 FUNDING
 REFERENCES
 
Natural Environment Research Council Postdoctoral Fellowship (NE/D008921/1 to L.J.M.); National Science Foundation (IBN-0315474 to W.L.R.).


    ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
 
We would like to thank Jens Krause, Colin Tosh, Anne Houde, and 2 anonymous referees for useful comments on the manuscript.


    REFERENCES
 TOP
 ABSTRACT
 INTRODUCTION
 A SIMPLE CONCEPTUAL MODEL
 OPTIMALITY MODEL OF POSITION...
 DISCUSSION
 FUNDING
 REFERENCES
 
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